Carolina and Duke

As dawn breaks on the 2017 NCAA basketball tournament I am feeling very good about the Tar Heels' chances.  Look for Joel Berry in particular to be a beast, and try to make up for the foul trouble that plagued him and Carolina in the ACC tournament semi-final loss.

It took me a while to recover from the ACC tournament.  When I was growing up in North Carolina it was a life or death event; only the ACC tournament champion would go to the big dance back then. So winning the ACC tournament is not necessary for your team to have a successful season, but not winning it still stinks.  

Much like the loss of an election to Donald Trump can make you question everything about America, one loss to Duke can do the same about the state of Carolina basketball.  Almost 2 days later I still can not get over that loss.

The U.S. blowing a 5-0 lead to the DR in the World Baseball Classic that night did not help, nor did Duke's win over Notre Dame. To demonstrate how chaotic this sports weekend was (I drafted most of this blog on Sunday, March 12th), the only safe harbor in the weekend sports storm was the Wizards!  The normally forgotten and formerly hapless 'Zards!

[Coincidentally, as I type this I'm listening to 'You've Got To Lose' by Cesar Rosas, off his solo record Soul Disguise.]

Anyway, the loss to the Devils prompted me to see if the 'data' supported my sour mood about my beloved Tar Heels. I looked at the last 10 years, specifically at: our over all record; ACC regular season and tournament performance; head to head vs. Duke; All-ACC selections; finally NBA All Star-game selections, to see how we stack up against the Dookies. This exercise also reminded me of ol' Roys quote about last year's squad:  "I've never seen such a good team talked about like it was a bad team" like the 2016 Final Four team, or something like that.  No matter what the data shows, the Heels have been very good lately.

Here are what the numbers say, and though they are impressive Stephen Miller's alma mater has a slight edge, especially since the end of the Tyler Hansbrough era. FYI, Hansbrough is currently playing for the Ft. Wayne Mad Ants in the D League, where he had 12 and 17 in their last game. Gulp.

I will start with the good news: overall, UNC is 134 and 109 versus the devils. The bad news is we have a six-game losing streak versus the school that taught Richard Nixon the law in the ACC tournament. Our loss on Friday also means we are now 49-50 versus the devils in our last 99 games (I am too old to make a Jay Z reference here). Finally, the worst number: in the last ten years we are 8-14 against our nemesis from the Bull City. 

Overall, we are 285-84, for a .772 winning percentage, over the last 10 years. Impressive stuff, but the devils are 295-68 for an astounding .812 winning percentage.  

The other pieces of good news for Heels fans are:

• We lead in first place finishes in the regular season, 6 to 1. Our overall ACC record is 124-46 in that span while Duke, owing to our 5-11 season in 2010, bests us with a 127-43 mark.
• UNC has had 4 ACC Players of the Year - Justin Jackson, Tyler Zeller, Ty Lawson and Tyler Hansbrough - against just 2 for Duke in Jahlil Okafor and Nolan Smith.  We also lead them in guys named Ty or Tyler.  
• Carolina has more NCAA wins, 25 to 22, and Final Four appearances, 3 versus 2, compared to the devils. We each have 7 losses in that ten-year span, with Dook losing twice in the first round. But at least they made the tournament those two years; the 2010 team is our blemish since we have only played in 9 of the last 10 NCAA tournaments while Duke is 10 for 10.

The flip side of those stats are:  

• They have 2 national championships to our one. UConn is the only other school with 2 championships in that span.
• Dook has 4 ACC tournament championships to our 2, and their record in the event is 19-6 while we are 17-8.
• Though we have had more ACC players of the year (4 to 2), they have had 12 first-team all ACC players to our nine.
• Thanks mainly to Kyrie "I believe the Earth is flat!" Irving, Ben Quayle's alma mater has had 6 NBA all stars in the last 10 years compared to only two for Michael Jordan's; Irving 3 times, Luol Deng twice and Carlos Boozer once. The last two UNC NBA all stars were Rasheed Wallace and Antawan Jamison, in 2008!  FYI, thanks for Chris Paul (9) and Tim Duncan (6) Wake Forest of all schools has had 16 NBA all stars in the last 10 years, with Jeff Teague picking up one selection.

Carolina goes into overtime and beats Villanova last year and these numbers are practically even. But that is sports for you; we honor the effort but the winners get the spoils.  

Finally, for a more cynical take, how about the the 'curse of Harrison Barnes'?  Barnes came to Carolina as perhaps the most celebrated recruit of all time (in college basketball, not just at Carolina).  While he had a great two-year run in Chapel Hill, Barnes did not live up to the incredible hype (except for perhaps the last two-thirds of his freshman year), and injuries to Kendall Marshall and John Henson in 2011 and 2012 derailed any hopes of a national championship or even a final four.  He was supposed to be Jordan and Worthy, with a little Wayne Ellington (a great outside shooter), rolled into one player. Instead he was more of an rich man's Reggie Bullock (who I love, BTW; love Barnes, too).  

Conversely, Kyrie Irving enrolled at Duke at the same time. Injuries limited him to only 7 games in Durham, but since then he has stolen Barnes' mojo. He was the number one pick in the NBA draft, has become a perennial All Star, started on the U.S. Olympic team while Barnes barely played, and even hit the game winning shot in the NBA finals last year. Irving has basically had the career that Barnes was supposed to have.  He's become the transcendental talent of his generation, a title scouts bestowed on Barnes in high school.

In time Barnes may become that kind of basketball savant. He is a very good player, but for now in the shadow of Kyrie Irving. 

Dean Hangover

Watching Carolina's game versus Pitt yesterday my fandom matched the level of play from the Heels. Given the news of the week, losing a basketball game on the road did not seem that big of a deal. I shrugged off the loss, unaffected, much the same way the players seemed to.

That said, there were some interesting basketball-game related insights.

1. Despite sleepwalking through much of the game the Heels DID tie it up late in the first half. But at the under-four time out the wheels fell off - and stayed off.
2. That run to tie the game was led by Kennedy Meeks, who came off the bench for the second game in a row. I imagine, or more to the point hope, that Meeks will be back in the starting line up versus Duke. As much as Isaiah Hicks has improved the Heels are strongest when Brice Johnson and Meeks are feeding off each other.
3. The other player who helped lead that run was Joel Berry. It was great to see the Florida freshman step up and play with confidence; he was so confident Roy had him start the second half at the point.
4. As good as it was to see Berry contribute it was also an admission that Nate Britt, after a great couple of games highlighted by his performance against Syracuse, and J.P. Tokoto have regressed in the last 4 games. We need both to get back to their A game if this team is to compete for an ACC championship and make a deep run in the NCAA tournament. 
5. This week's game at Duke may be just what this team needs. This is a good team, one that should regain it's focus and mojo in Cameron Indoor Stadium.  Never underestimate how some adversity can help get a team back on track. 

Finally, a huge 'point to the passer' to the University of Pittsburgh student section. 

Not only did the students unveil this banner but they also presented Roy with a signed card offering their condolences for Coach Smith's death. Those gracious actions from the self proclaimed Oakland Zoo prompted Roy to say "College athletics is not all bad. There are some darn good things that happen."

Kudos to the Oakland Zoo for the ultimate Dean move. Point to the passer!

This Year's Model

Hard to believe this is my first blog, let alone blog about Carolina basketball, in months.  I'll admit that the combination of some lingering ennui about Carolina athletics in the wake of the on-going embarrassment involving the football team and the African-American studies department (perhaps combined with getting older) has kept me off line.

But as is often the case, a win over a rival like NC State has rekindled my enthusiasm.  The switch to a smaller lineup has seemingly resuscitated this year's basketball team AND the Carolina Hellenic Blue blog.

I shouldn't attribute too much to Saturday's nice win over the Pack since the Heels have actually been playing better of late. After getting spanked in Coral Gables by Miami Carolina has outplayed Duke yet lost due to some terrible foul shooting and one Blue Devil run in the second half, scored 93 points versus a tough Virginia team, won on the road at Georgia Tech (which is actually news in the Roy Williams era), before taking down NC State on Saturday.

The wins are justifiably credited to Carolina's new small line up and more specifically to the insertion of PJ Hairston into the starting line up at small forward. More on that move in a minute.

What makes each of those games significant is not only did Carolina play well and win 3 of those 4 contests, but that Carolina finally started doing what every good Carolina team usually does - which is do what they want to do, and impose their will on the game and their opponent.

Against Duke we got shots we wanted and were aggressive, but the win over the Wahoos is the best example.  Virginia likes to control tempo, but the Heels would not allow that to happen. They rebounded, ran the floor and made shots against Virginia's tough, pack-line defense.

That takes talent, but almost more importantly it takes confidence and a faith in your teammates and coach. It took a while for a young team, especially for our freshman point guard, to develop that confidence.

But now it's here, and it's fun to watch.

The interesting this about this year's model is the style of play the Heels are imposing on their opponents.  In a word, that style is very 'un-Carolina.'

For practically 60 years, to the days of Frank Maguire but canonized during the Dean Smith era, Carolina basketball has featured a "big man down low, feed the post first, inside out" offense.  Those big men could often run the floor, and other attributes such as getting shots in transition before the defense gets set have characterized Carolina basketball.


The recent run of powerhouse teams assembled by Roy Williams took that model to a different level with a dominant big man balanced by one or two lights out shooters on the wing and a terrific point guard.

First and foremost, Carolina's offense has always prioritized getting a good - or better yet easy - shot. Logically, the closer a player is to the basket - from either a pass down low or on a fast break or the secondary break - the easier the shot so the Heels have always looked inside first.

This year's team does NOT do that, in fact CAN NOT do that, and therefore makes this year's squad the most un-Carolina-like team since ....when?  Ever?

Even before the recent switch to a four guard lineup, the 2013 Heels were unbalanced and did not fit into the historical arc of Carolina basketball.

This year's team, with four guards and a power forward, is more like a modern NBA line up (or even dare I say recent Duke teams). Folks may have noticed that this year's NBA all star team ballot did not include a category for center; you voted for 2 back court players and 3 in the front court.  The three-point line and in my opinion Magic Johnson and the age of big guys who can handle have completely changed the game of basketball. Instead of going down low first, to a Hansbrough or Sean May or Eric Montross - or to a Kareem or Bill Russell or Wilt Chamberlain - today's basketball revolves around players who can slash to the rack and drive and dish, or positionless, offensive-polyskilled freaks like LeBron James, Dirk Nowitzki, Dwayne Wade and Kevin Durant (or Michael Jordan for that matter).

You have to give ol' Roy credit for making that work this year (or criticize him, I suppose, for failing to recruit a successor to the May-Hansbrough-Zeller line).

But he does deserve credit. This small line up is starting to believe in itself, and obviously the coach is a big part of that. He's getting defense from a three-point specialist, great rebounding from his small forward, and leadership and savvy from his 150-pound freshman point guard.

And this weekend, this most un-Carolina line up did a great job of playing smart, winning Tar Heels basketball - and winning a rivalry game to boot.*

Go Heels!

 * and got me blogging again!

A Few More Thoughts 

• NC State LOOKS really good, and I wonder why they have struggled at times this year.  They have plus-talent at the one, two, four and five.  Richard Howell is particularly impressive. I guess the easiest explanation is one that came into play on Saturday; C.J. Leslie disappeared at times.  Credit Hairston for some great defense, too.
• It looks  like the ACC will have 5 teams - Carolina, Duke, NC State, Virginia and Miami - in the NCAA tournament, but that's it unless Maryland or FSU run the table in Greensboro.
• Two years ago I was convinced that Tony Bennett was in over his head at Virginia, but I was wrong.  A program seems to be building in Charlottesville.
• Though the Heels are doing well I don't see an first-team all ACC players on the roster.  My first team all-ACC team is Larkin, Plumlee, Howell, Joe Harris, and either Kenny Kadji or Erik Green.  Reggie Bullock and maybe Hairston could be second or third-team members.  

Hoo ha

At half time of yesterday's Carolina game, the in-studio commentator for ESPN went on about 'this Tar Heels team may not be good enough to merely flip the switch and play great ... blah blah blah" or some such hoo ha.  

That kind of 'analysis' has become quite common place, at least it was in 2008, 2009, and the last two years.  Commentators love blathering on about what's wrong with Carolina; so much talent the players get lackadaisical or indifferent, they don't play hard, imagine if they always gave maximum effort, etc.

Like I said, hoo ha.  

You may recall that in 2005 there was a similar narrative; the Heels had tremendous talent but did they play as a team. Can you imagine Dean's reaction when he heard that?  A Carolina squad being accused of NOT being a team?  

The old Dean-era narrative was the opposite.  Carolina's 'system' suppressed individual talent and players in service to the team.  At one point, that was actually one excuse given for why Dean could not win the big one - too much focus on the team and not enough freedom for individual stars to take over a game.

Old hoo ha.

But all those analyses are incorrect and display a lack of knowledge of Carolina basketball.  Carolina basketball is defined by effort on both ends of the floor, feeding the post first in search of the best and easiest shot, and increasing possessions by playing aggressive defense and rebounding. 

There is no flipping the switch, or even a system really.  It's a philosophy of playing winning and consistent and honest basketball, confident that effort, feeding the post, defense, rebounds and possessions will win most games.

Now, as we saw last night in Coral Gables, some games the easy shots don't fall, the defense gets a little sloppy, and the other team gets a head of steam.  As a result, the Heels found themselves down by 8 with 15 minutes left.

But eventually, the Heels will usually get it right.  And coming out of the under 16 time out, they did.  The defense got tougher and forced turnovers on 4 straight Hurricanes possessions.  Carolina quickly turned those turnovers into points. The rest of the half was more of the same, with the Heels playing tough D particularly against Miami's guards and center Reggie Johnson, dominating the boards on both ends, and making shots.

John Henson was tough down low to start the second half as Carolina fed the post, and had a great game on the glass.

In addition to defense, rebounding and more possessions, it's always good to enhance a philosophy with some simple and excellent talent, talent like Harrison Barnes.  Barnes' 14-point burst coincided with the Canes' turnovers and Carolina's defensive pressure, and helped lead the Heels to a nice, at times ugly but validating, win.

Maybe this team does flip the switch.  But it's not a switch as mundane as talent or a wake up call. It's much more profound than that.  That switch says Carolina basketball.

GO HEELS!

A few more Tar Heels Headlines

• Carolina basketball breeds confidence.  That's how Reggie Bullock, after misfiring for most of the night, was cool and collected enough down the stretch last night to hit 2 big three pointers.
• It's also the reason we continue to see the evolution of James Michael McAdoo.   For the fourth game in a row he was confident and aggressive.  Love to see that.
• Psycho Z was not as dominant offensively, but totally shut down Johnson down low.  He was big.
• Finally, Kendall Marshall was off for 20 minutes, and steadily fantastic for the final 15. Like Bullock, he missed lots of shots but kept his head up as he played all 20 minutes of the second half.

Five Great Halves in a Row

The Heels continued to prove they were back today against Georgia Tech, extending their winning streak to 31 straight at home, but more importantly playing their fourth and fifth straight great halves of basketball in routing the Yellow Jackets.

Lot's of other numbers to talk about: Carolina shot 54 for the game; made 8 three-point shots in the 1st half; the Tar Heels blocked 10 shots and had 8 steals versus only 10 turnovers for the game; ended a 4 game losing streak to Georgia Tech (the oddest number in this list).

Those numbers do tell the story.  Two numbers, two stories, two stats it particular should make every Tar Heels fan on the planet happy.

One, and the gaudiest one to look at, is the 10 threes for the game. Carolina started the season shooting 3s very well but had cooled of late.  This afternoon the Heels were getting and making open looks from beyond the arch. That, of course, opened thing up inside for another great game from Zeller, and effective and emphatic drives from Barnes.

If today's performance is proof that the Heels, in particular Bullock and Hairston, have regained their outside touch this team is practically unbeatable.  Who does the other team guard when all five Heels can shoot and score? 

Two, the defense was generally outstanding today, as evidenced by the 30 boards, and an 18 to 10 ratio of take aways - steals and blocks - to give aways - the dreaded turnover.  Boards, blocks and steals lead to fast breaks, and fast breaks lead to points.

In the second half Carolina's perimeter defense lagged at times, but the interior defense was outstanding, and I agree with Hubert Davis' kudos to Barnes for shutting down Glen Rice Jr. this afternoon.

As it is with Carolina's outside shooting, when the Heels defend and rebound like they did today, watch out world. 

The great news is the Heels have now done that for 5 halves in a row, and are starting to regain their swagger.

The iffy news is, can you really measure progress against a team that looked so overmatched like Georgia Tech looked today?  With Wake and Maryland up next, we may not find out that answer  for another week or so.  Either way, it's great to see Carolina looking like Carolina.

GO HEELS!

A few - ok, quite a few - more Heels notes:

• I loved Reggie Bullock's game today.  Not only did he bury some shots, 3 of 6 from three, I loved his activity on defense and without the ball.  His transition defense was key in the decisive first-half run that put this game away early.
• How crazy good is Kendall Marshall?  Ho hum, another 12-1 assist to turnover ratio game, with an excellent mix of long, spectacular, skip passes, mixed in with a three-pointer and a few nifty drives.  Running out of superlatives for his game.
• Fantastic to see John Michael McAdoo play with confidence today.  He had his best game in about a month.  Best of all?  He did not settle for that 10-foot fadeaway jumper he loves.  McAdoo was confident and aggressive today.
• Tyler Zeller continues to be 'the good Tyler Zeller' of last year's stretch run.  He was efficient and smooth on offense, great on the boards, and had another nice defensive game, too.  Front court mate John Henson had a nice if unspectacular game as well, 13 points, 6 boards, 4 blocks and a stop the presses 5 of 8 on free throws!
• Oh yeah, Harrison Barnes put together another dominant half of hoops.  In the first half he was not that aggressive but he made up for in the second stanza with a series of drives, pull ups, dunks, threes, and reverse lay ups.  And he played pretty good defense, too.
• Stillman White had a decent game, hitting one three, making one assist and one steal in 6 minutes of spelling Marshall at the point. Interesting to see Justin Watts play the point for about 2 minutes late in the game.  As a result, Marshall 'only' played 31 minutes tonight, which coincidentally is his season's average this year.

When does 2012 start?

As some of you know, Evan has a blog called Waiting for 2012.  It's mainly devoted to Nationals fans as we wait for Steven Strasburg and Bryce Harper to play a full season for our hometown team.

But that notion will have to take a back seat to the 2011-2012 college basketball season.  With today's news that Harrison Barnes is staying in Chapel Hill the Heels look more than stacked for the 2012 season.  

The inevitable comparisons to 2009 have already started for the Tar Heels. That team had to wait until Lawson, Green and Ellington decided to stay in school, then after a few speed bumps proceeded to dominate college basketball on their way to Carolina's 5th NCAA championship.

For me, the real comparison with 2009 is that ol' Roy will have to coach up to expectations - and deal with the pressure of being a heavy favorite. With all five starters returning from an Elite Eight squad, that will certainly be the case in 2012.

But it's a good problem to have. GO HEELS!

A few more notes:

• Great weekend of NBA playoff games. Of course, the only two I watched in their entirety were the ones that featured Tyler Hansbrough and the 'Three-headed Carolina Point Guard Monster" in Denver (aka George Karl, Raymond Felton, and Ty Lawson).
• Tough to see the Pacers lose, but great to see Psycho T running the floor, making buckets, dunking a few times and abusing Duke's Carlos Boozer in the process.  Ironically, Boozer is probably the player that Hansbrough should most emulate in the NBA.  Both played the five spot in the ACC but Boozer has thrived as a power forward thanks to a variety of shots and skills.  However, Hansbrough should NOT emulate Boozer's listless defensive efforts.
• All Heels fans know about the speed of Ty Lawson, but the NBA game also allows him to showcase his strength.  He made a number of tough shots in the paint against the Thunder last night.  And it's fun to watch Lawson and Felton play in the same back court.  Both played more than 30 minutes last night, and each scored in double figures - though Felton missed all four of his three-point shots including a big one with a minute left. 
• Danny Green played 29 . . . seconds in the Spurs' loss to Memphis, and Brendan Haywood had 2 points, 6 boards and 1 blocked shot in the Mavericks' win over Portland.  His dunk ignited a 12 - 4 run that gave the Mavericks the lead at half time. 

Nationals Note

Opened on a Nats note, so will close on a Nats note.  Evan and I had tickets to Saturday's rained out game versus the Brewers.  And just like a rainbow that follows a storm, the rainout turned out great for us.  

We were able to trade-in our Saturday tickets for tickets to Sunday's double header. We had good seats for game one, in Section 221, Row D, then moved down to Section 128 for the second game.  Both were on the first base side (our normal season tickets are near third base).  I don't know if it was the change of scenery, or the spontaneity of our post Palm Sunday-lunch decision, the two free hot dogs someone gave us, or the fact that the Nats swept the Brew Crew, but we had a fantastic time! 

Most it had to do with the Nationals' play - though I did like sitting on the first base side.  Led by Danny Espinosa, who hit a three-run homer in game one and a three-run triple in the night cap, the Nats finally came up with some big hits. 

But more importantly, both starting pitchers - Jason Marquis and Livan Hernandez - pitched well, and Marquis was the first Nationals starter to throw a pitch in the 8th inning this year.

The Nats are 8-7, above ,500 and on a pace for 86 wins.  So maybe we only have to wait for the Tar Heels in 2012?

Marshall Plan

As a Greek-American I've always liked the Marshall Plan. A magnanimous nation helping a poor country like Greece rebuild and retool after being devastated by 4 years of Nazi occupation.

Well, I love the Carolina-Hellenic Blue version we saw today as Carolina won it's third straight game by at least 20 points, 89-69,  against a pretty good FSU team.

Playing his first extended minutes of the season due to Larry Drew II's decision to leave school in the middle of the season, Marshall excelled.  His 16 assists are a Carolina record for an ACC game.  

Let that sink in for a while.  Marshall - not Phil Ford, Jimmy Black, Derrick Phelps, Ed Cota, Raymond Felton, Ty Lawson, Quentin Thomas - has that record for assists.  At Carolina.

Marshall was the first among equals in tonight's win. The list of contributors was not as deep as it was versus Boston College, but most everyone played great today.  It looks like every Heels player - not just Harrison Barnes - is losing themselves in the game, and it has showed of late as Carolina has rolled to some very convincing wins.  And a 7-1 record halfway through the ACC season.

Against the Noles Carolina was never really challenged.  The Tar Heels had a nice working margin most of the game.  In the first half it was Marshall, but also an aggressive Dexter Strickland, Barnes, and some great contributions from Justin Knox leading the way.   Carolina had a 9-point lead at half without significant contributions from Zeller or Henson.

That changed in the second, as Zeller in particular got great position down low and Henson was much more aggressive and hit a variety of shots - including my new favorite, his sweeping left handed hook. He looks like Randy Johnson when he extends, and his arm looks even longer than usual. 

I also like Barnes' toughness, hitting 3 shots after hurting his left shoulder.  Best way to rehab an injury is to make shots!

That's what the Heels did all game, as they became the first ACC school to shoot more than 50 percent against the Seminoles this season.

A lot of the credit goes to the Marshall Plan.  Ever since Roy made him the starter the offense has really flowed, guys are generally making good decisions and taking good shots, and the Heels are looking very, very confident.   Oh yeah - they're also winning  ball games.

A few more Heels notes:

• Larry Drew II looked small for leaving Carolina the way he did; Marshall made him look even smaller today (if that's possible).
• Carolina didn't need a whole lot from Bullock or McDonald today, though each made a three-pointer.
• Knox made some tough shots, but also set a couple of nice screens and defended well especially in the first half.
• Some interesting numbers: Barnes finished with a double double, 17 and 10, and Marshall and Strickland each played more than 35 minutes. 
• Carolina enters Wednesday's big game versus Ran Paul's alma mater full of confidence.  It will be a big test for freshmen like Barnes and Marshall and Bullock, but I love our chances.  Duke is a little weak down low - though Mason Plumlee has played better of late - so if Marshall and Strickland can get it to Zeller, Hanson and Knox and open things for Strickland, McDonald, Bullock and Barnes watch out!  Go Heels!

Take 2 Clemsons and Call Me in the Morning

When it comes to Carolina basketball, there is nothing like Clemson.  Once upon a time, Carolina was a school of unbelievable streaks: 20-win seasons, top-3 finishes in the ACC regular season, sweet 16 trips. Our friend Matt Doherty ended most of our most vaunted streaks (with some help from Boston College's Bill Curley).

The one that endures is our winning streak against the ACC's original football school, the Clemson Tigers. Last night's win leaves Clemson 0-forever versus Carolina.  Perhaps the most inexplicable record in sports is Carolina's 54-0 lifetime record at home versus Clem(p)son. 

Almost as inexplicable was the way the Heels stunk up the joint versus Georgia Tech on Sunday night.  After displays of toughness and determination in their previous 2 conference games the Heels displayed neither in Atlanta. They also could not do little things like catch a pass, let alone make a shot. Inexplicable that any Division I athlete, let alone a Carolina recruit, could not catch a pass but that's what happened on Sunday night.

The good news is last night the Heels righted many off those wrongs.  Perhaps best of all Carolina did not trail by double figures in this game for the first time in four games.  The Heels came out much more focused, with much more energy.

That may have something to do with Kendall Marshall replacing Larry Drew II in the starting line up. That was certainly part of it; Marshall was no Ty Lawson but the Heels did score 46 points in the first half - and did not fall behind.

Marshall did his part, but the Heels were led in the first half by Jon Henson and Reggie Bullock.  Bullock got major minutes due to a pneumothorax issue with Leslie McDonald. Not only did Bullock score 16 points in the first half, he got them as a result of playing a complete floor game. Bullock did hit 3 three-pointers but he also played the passing lanes and created - scored off of - Clemson turnovers.

Playing the passing lanes was emblematic of a more aggressive defensive effort by the Heels. Particularly late, the Heels really ratcheted up their defense and as a result Clemson only scored 2 points in the final seven minutes.

Also on display late was the toughness the Heels demonstrated in their wins over Virginia and Virginia Tech.  For most of the game the Heels had a working lead of 4 to 8 points but the Tigers fought back time after time, tying the game at 63 with seven minutes left.   That's when the Heels started making plays. 

Down the stretch Barnes made another big three and had a important defensive board, Marshall made free throws, there was a key tip-in by Henson,  and Zeller had two monster offensive rebounds.  

So overall a pretty satisfying game, one that makes us 3-1 in the conference.  We didn't get behind early, Bullock and Henson made shots, and the Heels got tough late to win.  Thanks Clemson!

And GO HEELS!

Few more Heels notes:

• This is Henson's team now.   Used to be Zeller's.  Psycho Z is still playing well, but Henson is consistently making plays on offense and defense (everywhere but the free throw line).  We get much worse when he is not on the floor.
• Zeller needs to get more touches.  In the last two games he's only taken 11 shots.  Maybe teams are keying on him more, and Henson is benefiting as a result.  But I wish we could be more patient on offense and get Zeller more touches and shots.
• I was impressed by Larry Drew II.  Coming off the bench he was more Bobby Fraser 2006 than his usual Adam Boone.  He attacked the basket and played some good d, too.  And he didn't sulk.  Props to LDII.
• Bullock finally snapped out of his parliament-sized funk last night.  Like Barnes, he's had trouble losing himself in the game but last night he finally did - and scored 16 points in the first half.
• Barnes keeps tantalizing. He is clearly skilled but still seems to be thinking too much out there.  I like that he has been taking the ball to the rack more, and seems to have improved as a defender.
•  After 3 games in 6 days the Heels are now off until their January 26 visit to the U. 

Ugly Ugly Ugly

Let's see - Carolina's last 3 games have been: ugly win (at Virginia); ugly win (at home vs. Virginia Tech);  the most horrendous of them all, tonight's ugly loss to a uninspiring Georgia Tech team in Atlanta.

A game so terrible as tonight's 20-point loss takes all - at least almost all - the shine off those two ugly wins.  The Heels never looked like the Heels tonight.  They were incredibly passive to start the game, for the second game in a row.  We did not feed the post; Henson and Zeller had 6 shots combined in the first half. Our perimeter defense was terrible, and we let a relatively short Tech team out muscle us down low.

Even our new savant, Kendell Marshall, had a bad game with 5 turnovers (a couple of really bad ones, too).

It was a total breakdown. Carolina shot 27 percent for the game, 20 percent for the second half.  Georgia Tech punched us in the face, and we had absolutely no response, from anyone.  No one had even a semi-decent game for the Heels. 

Is this a pattern?  Against the teams from the Old Dominion the come-from-behind victories looked good, and were symptoms of toughness and tenacity.  But when you follow those two performances with tonight's stinker, you start to worry about the 2010 Heels. 

The troubling thing is that in 3 ACC games the Heels have failed to play with much urgency or smarts, at least for 40 minutes.  Against Virginia we did for the first 5 minutes, and the last 6. Against Virginia Tech is was for the last 4 minutes of the first half, and the last 8 of the second. Tonight against the Yellow Jackets, in front of a 50/50 crowd by the way, we had one decent stretch when the subs came in after 3 minutes, for about 5 minutes.

So my very rough calculations have us playing 28 decent minutes, in 3 games, out of a possible 120.

Maybe I'm over reacting; it's only one game, ugly wins are still wins, and we're 2-1 in the conference with a road victory. And perhaps I should not devalue those two wins. Virginia won half a game AT Duke over the weekend so they aren't THAT bad.  And the Hokies are semi-legit, a top-50 team according to the RPI.

Perhaps best of all, Clemson comes to the Dean Dome on Tuesday, a team the Heels have never lost to in Chapel Hill.

That game will be huge, however.  A good night of shooting, rebounding and running, a playing smart will go a long way to cure all the ills from tonight's loss.  This team needs to get it's confidence back, and hopefully that will happen against the Tigers.

That WILL happen if Carolina acts like Carolina. We need to feed the post, for two reasons. One, that's Carolina basketball, go low first, then pass it out if nothing's there.  And two, for the 2010 Heels that's where are scorers are.  

This team has talent, especially in Henson, Zeller, and Barnes. Those guys, especially Henson and Z, need lots of touches. Tonight that didn't happen, and there were similar stretches against the Cavaliers and Hokies.  Fix that and everything will get better, and we won't have nights where the Heels shoot 27 percent.

Of course, that issue begs THE BIG QUESTION: Marshall or Drew II?  I would keep doing what Roy has been doing, at least for one more game. It will be hard to keep starting Drew, however, if he continues to fail to get the Heels into their offense, and fails to feed Z, Henson, and others.  He's been in Chapel Hill for 2 and a half seasons.  He should be better, and that needs to happen soon.

ACC season

As improbable as it may sound, there is a very good chance that Carolina could go 11 and 5, at the very least 10 and 6, in the ACC this year. And it's not inconceivable that the Heels could finish 12 and 4.

The Heels have looked better lately, which is heartening and the main reason to be optimistic.  Larry Drew is playing better,  Tyler Zeller and John Henson are dependable post players at both ends of the floor,  Dexter Strickland has figured out ways to score (though it would be great if our shooting guard could shoot) and has been playing lock down defense, and Leslie McDonald and Harrison Barnes and Reggie Bullock may give us some legit outside shooting. I also love the work the two Justins, messers Watts and Knox, are doing off the bench.

But the main reason to be optimistic about 10 wins in conference is the generally atrocious condition of the ACC. Duke is very good - they were likely great with Kyrie Irving - but that is practically it when it comes to the ACC. 

Finally, the schedule favors the Heels.  Our road games are at Duke, State, Boston College, FSU, Clemson, Virginia, Georgia Tech and Miami. Those last 4 are likely wins. The Heels could fall to Clemson - though I doubt it - or Miami in Coral Gables; the U is getting better. Or we could pull one out over BC in Chestnut Hill.  But with no visits to College Park or Blacksburg you only need to pencil in 4 road losses.

At home we get to feast on some pretty weak teams. The Hokies, Clemson, State, FSU, Wake, BC, Maryland and Duke come to Chapel Hill.  Ideally we run the table at the Smith Center, but even if we lose to Duke or suffer a hick up along the way against Virginia Tech or Maryland that is still only 2 home losses.

Pretty good news for a team that went 5 and 11 last year. I'm trying to stay realistic with this team but when you look at the schedule and the rest of the league 10 wins seems more than doable. And without Irving I feel good about taking down Duke at least once, so put me down for 11 wins for the 2011 Heels.

Heels Notes

• One easy way to gauge how weak the ACC is are the polls.  Duke is the only ACC team in the top 25 this week, again.
• Interesting to note how Carolina has played 5 teams in the current top 25: Kentucky, Texas, Vanderbilt, Minnesota and Illinois.
• ESPN's Joe Lunardi has the Heels listed as a 9 seed in his first edition of Bracketology.  Though we are only 1-4 versus the teams in the current top 25 when you look at Lunardi's field you see that we have already defeated three teams predicted to make the NCAA tournament, Long Beach State and Lipscomb, in addition to Kentucky.

Psycho Z!

What an exhilarating win for the Heels today against the Wildcats!  It was sloppy at times, but in general Carolina played an all-around game to win one they had to have.  Losing today, especially after the kind of effort the Tar Heels put forth, could have had devastating consequences for Carolina.

But now the converse is true: this is the kind of win and game that a squad can build a successful season on. 

There were plenty of star turns in this game.  John Henson was everywhere making every kind of play.  Blocks, passes, rebounds, getting good position (he was not pushed around tonight as he was in the second half of the Illinois debacle), and of course scoring.  He even made an important free throw late after air balling two in a row early in the second half.

Harrison Barnes had a three-minute stretch where he looked like an all-American especially on the soaring, put-back dunk in the first half.  He scored seven points during a nice, 9-0 run for the Heels.  Barnes' streakiness included that mini-run, AND a time in the second half where he single-handedly tried to hand Kentucky the win.

Even Larry Drew made some nice plays, setting up teammates, getting a steal or two, and a nice drive and two big free throws late.

My unsung hero of the game was Dexter Strickland, and not just because in the first half he hit a JUMP SHOT!  Rather, it was his defensive effort.  Strickland lead an incredibly solid defensive effort for the Heels, and in the second half he slowed down Doron Lamb, Kentucky's very impressive freshman.

The big story from today's game - besides saving the season - was that defensive effort. Carolina imposed their will on Kentucky's offense, and funneled the ball and Kentucky players to areas of the floor where we wanted them to go, especially towards Zeller and Henson.  As a result the Heels finished with 9 blocks; 5 by Zeller and 3 by Henson.  And when Carolina's defense was not directing the ball towards our big men it was forcing Kentucky into traps and double teams.   It was a great defensive effort, just great team defense.

The defense was key, but another outstanding feature of today's win was the team resiliency and perseverance. Carolina was playing well most of the game, but never opened up much of a lead and spent most of the game trailing the Cats.  But they never gave in, kept working, and made plays for the win.

After a back and forth few minutes to start the second half, a Kentucky mini-run left the Heels down 6 with just under 12 minutes to go. It even forced 'ol Roy to call a time.  Coming out of the TO Leslie McDonald came off a John Henson screen at the top of the key.  But instead of taking a three, McDonald took two extra dribbles and hit a floating 8 footer.  It was a smart, Carolina-style play by McDonald, who was our best player off the bench today.  Twice he passed up threes for an easier drive to the basket.

Two minutes later Justin Watts got a big rebound that he turned into an old fashioned three-point play.  And almost more improbably, at the nine minute mark Drew - told you he had a nice game - made his own three-point play off a rebound fast break.  The Kentucky run was over, stemmed by the unlikely three of McDonald, Watts, and Drew II.

Great resilience and focus - and smart, Carolina basketball.

In the last 8 minutes it was basically the Tyler Zeller show.  As good as the defense and resilience of this team was today, THE story of the game has to be Psycho Z!

First he tied the score off a nice feed from Drew - yes, a very nice game from LDII - at the 7 minute mark.  Down the stretch Zeller did everything: he was grabbing rebounds; blocking shots; taking charges; carrying Wanda's groceries into the house; running the floor; getting great position and hitting free throws. 

Despite that effort the Heels were down one with a minute and a half to play.

But we kept getting the ball to Zeller, he and Drew made their free throws, Carolina really tightened up on defense, and the season was saved.  

Overall is was an exciting game to watch, but more importantly an exhilarating win that the Heels really, really needed.  Last year, this stretch of games ruined the season.  Interestingly enough, the exact opposite happened last year: we beat a Big 10 team (Michigan State) but lost to Kentucky, Texas and College of Charleston.  And the season was lost.

Hopefully the opposite will keep happening, so we'll win 11 games in the ACC, etc. etc.   And the way the Heels competed, kept their cool, and made plays down the stretch it could happen. It was that kind of game, and that big a win. 

Hadditional Heels Headlines:

• Another great thing about today's win? It undoubtedly made Kentucky's wack job, Duke graduate Senator Rand Paul sad.
• Last year's win over Michigan State gave everyone a false sense about the 2009-2010 Heels, especially about Larry Drew.  The good news is the Heels' next few games - against Evansville, Long Beach State, then another rematch with Texas - can give this team a chance to build on today's confidence. 
• Justin Watts was another unsung hero of the Kentucky game. In the final four or five minutes Roy went to a line up of Zeller, Drew, Barnes, Strickland and Watts (keeping Henson's free throw shooting on the bench). The Durham senior delivered with shots, free throws, a nice board and a defensive stop down the stretch.  He even tipped Strickland's missed free throw into the air - killing a second or two - as the game clocked expired.
• Love having Henson and Zeller down low on both ends of the court.
• This was the worst collective game our 3 freshman have played.  Marshall was horrible and made a number of bad passes.  Bullock had a few moments with a key assist and board in the second half.  He also got some open looks that he could not knock down.
• Barnes had that one good, electrifying run in the first half but otherwise he once again forced the action.  One theory I have is that many high school players from non-basketball states can be somewhat overrated, while city kids may be underrated.  Consider Vince Carter and Jon Henson, who came to Carolina from Florida, a football and baseball state.  It took each at least a year to step their game up to ACC level.  Barnes, from Iowa, may be on the same trajectory.  Iowa is a nice place, but Barnes did not face the same kind of competition as kids from New York, New Jersey, California or even North Carolina or Indiana.  
• Look at Kentucky's Lamb, from Queens.  He was fantastic.  It's only one game, but it's not surprising that a kid from New York is ready to successfully jump from high school to big time college basketball.  Ditto for Duke's Kyrie 'Eleison' Irving, who is off to a much better start than Barnes.
• Then again, Tyler Hansbrough was from Poplar Bluff, Missouri, an area more Iowa than Queens.  He's the exception.  But the good news for Heels fans is we got a Tyler Hansbrough-esque performance today from Tyler Zeller.  Psycho T, meet Psycho Z!

Sports fans are the most miserable people in the world

Don't know who first that (don't think it was my favorite philosopher, Mike Tyson), but I second that emotion this weekend. 

Carolina played a little better today in losing to another middling team from a power conference.  Today they lost to Vanderbilt, by a similar margin to last night's loss to Minnesota, by six.

But losing is losing, thus the misery.  

On the plus side, Zeller and Knox had good games, Barnes had his moments, and the Heels responded to whatever ol' Roy said at half time. They started the final 20 by pressing and forcing turnovers.  The increased defensive energy resulted in Carolina erasing a 10-point half time deficit and even taking the lead twice (may three times, in fact).

But with about 6 minutes left the Heels started making bone headed plays.  Strickland had a few turnovers and bad passes, there were some missed free throws,  and McDonald and Drew looked clueless in the half court.  It was so hapless that with 4 minutes left the Heels had Zeller, McDonald, Barnes, Marshall and Bullock on the floor - 3 freshmen at crunch time. Bullock made a three to keep the Heels' hopes alive - and was the only guy to make shots late on his way to 10 points - but that one of the few plays we made down the stretch.

So we're 2-2 and the stench of last season is starting to drift back in.  It's only 4 games, but early on it looks like Larry Drew has not become Bobby Fraser (to suggest he should be compared to Raymond Felton or Ty Lawson is heresy) or even senior year Quinton Thomas.   He is stuck in the 'Adam Boone zone' which will soon be renamed the 'Drew II Zone' if he does not do a better job of running a half court offense.

In addition to Drew II, I am starting to naggingly wonder if guys like Strickland, McDonald and even Henson - who only played 16 minutes and had 6 turnovers to go with 8 boards and 2 points and 1 air ball on a free throw - are that good.  They keep making mistakes, mistakes that second and third years players should not be making.  Perhaps Roy will straighten these guys out, but one wonders if the talent is not there to work with.  The one exception is Henson, who is talented but needs to work on free throw shooting and decision making. 

Anyway, a depressing weekend.  We didn't even have field hockey, as the defending national champs lost to Maryland today to complete the quinella: football, basketball, soccer and field hockey all lost this weekend.

The Heels men do get a chance to right things in Chapel Hill on Tuesday versus UNC-Asheville.  However, after that game things get tougher with a revenge game - at home - versus College of Charleston followed by a road game at Illinois and a home game versus Kentucky on December 4th.  It was a similar stretch a - tough losses at Texas (who comes to Greensboro this year on Dec. 18th) and Kentucky, a neutral floor loss to Syracuse - that pierced the bubble and shattered the confidence of last year's squad.  Let's hope this team is tougher and more resilient, and that ol' Roy can figure out how to get this more talented team to get better and not worse.

I Saw Wayne Ellington Last Night

I know it's only one game, and it was against Hofstra, and it was only the second game of the season - but how great was it to see Carolina make shots?  The Heels shot 56 percent for the game on the way to scoring a Hansbrough-era 107 points last night in Puerto Rico.

But it was not a Hansbrough night; the win instead evoked Wayne Ellington, Danny Green, Ty Lawson.  Safe to say the Heels have not shot it this well since the first half against Michigan State in the 2009 championship game. 

There were two distressing things about last year (of course, there were more than two; there we eleven ACC losses, and 17 overall).  For me, the two most distressing things were: the lack of offense, and the lack of getting what Carolina basketball was.

Last night's performance shows this year's squad may - again, it's only one game - get it.  Besides the great shooting and excellent passing and ball distribution, I offer this great quote from Leslie McDonald (a career high 16 points on 5-for-9 with four threes):  "We attack the middle, give it to the big men, they pass it out, and we're getting shots."

Not only are they getting shots - THAT'S Carolina basketball.

A few more notes before my battery dies:

• Harrison Barnes looked like an all-American in the first half.  He was pretty assertive and looked for his shot without forcing things.  He was scoreless in the second half but had an impressive game nonetheless.
• Zeller was a bit more aggressive last night, which was nice to see.  Loved the alley-oop off the patented Carolina back screen.
• Did not notice Larry Drew II in this game, which is good. He got the ball to where it needed to go, but it seemed like in the first half the game went through Barnes not Drew II.
• Kendell Marshall had 9 assists in less than 20 minutes.  Like this guy alot.
• McDonald had a beautiful stroke last night.  Excellent rotation.
• But in addition to the shooting, the story of the game for me was once again John Henson.  Not that his filled out the box score like he did against Lipscomb, but rather in the way he flowed and reacted.  He is some more comfortable this season.  Expect HUGE things from our thin power forward this season if he flow continues.